The Obama Hustle

The Rediscovered Truth About Barack H Obama

University of Colorado Prediction Model: Romney Wins 320-218

with one comment



If you’re following the electoral college  predictions on this site, you’d see that all of the major analysts say Obama  will win in November.

But one model by the University of Colorado (released in late August)  projects Romney to win in a landslide so I wanted to share that here for your  review.

From news release:

The key is the economy, say political science professors Kenneth   Bickers of  CU-Boulder and Michael Berry of CU Denver. Their prediction   model stresses  economic data from the 50 states and the District of   Columbia, including both  state and national unemployment figures as well   as changes in real per capita  income, among other factors.

According to their analysis, … Romney will win 52.9 percent of the popular  vote to Obama’s 47.1   percent…

From  theDC:

Romney, it concluded, will win every state currently considered by pollsters  to be a swing state, including Ohio, Pennsylvania,  Wisconsin, Florida, Virginia, Colorado, New Hampshire and North Carolina.

The model even predicts Romney will win Minnesota and Maine’s Second Congressional  District, the electoral votes of which   most pollsters consider to be “safe” for President Obama. Nevada and   Iowa are the only swing states it assigns to  Obama.

Nate Silver of FiveThirtyEight still projects a likely Obama victory.




One Response

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  1. Very interesting….

    The Obama Hustle

    September 10, 2012 at 3:27 am

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